US909319AA30 Market Value

909319AA3   98.97  0.09  0.09%   
909319AA3's market value is the price at which a share of 909319AA3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US909319AA30 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US909319AA30 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 909319AA3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 909319AA3 Correlation, 909319AA3 Volatility and 909319AA3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 909319AA3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 909319AA3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 909319AA3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 909319AA3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

909319AA3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 909319AA3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 909319AA3.
0.00
01/20/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 909319AA3 on January 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US909319AA30 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 909319AA3 over 720 days. 909319AA3 is related to or competes with Valneva SE, Graham Holdings, Merit Medical, WEBTOON Entertainment, Youdao, and Universal Music. More

909319AA3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 909319AA3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US909319AA30 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

909319AA3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 909319AA3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 909319AA3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 909319AA3 historical prices to predict the future 909319AA3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.2098.9799.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.8081.57108.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 909319AA3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 909319AA3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 909319AA3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US909319AA30.

US909319AA30 Backtested Returns

US909319AA30 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.088, which signifies that the bond had a -0.088% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 909319AA3 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 909319AA3's Semi Deviation of 1.3, coefficient of variation of 27765.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0073 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.25, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 909319AA3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 909319AA3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

US909319AA30 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 909319AA3 time series from 20th of January 2023 to 15th of January 2024 and 15th of January 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US909319AA30 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current 909319AA3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.67

US909319AA30 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 909319AA3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 909319AA3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 909319AA3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 909319AA3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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909319AA3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 909319AA3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 909319AA3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 909319AA3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

909319AA3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 909319AA3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 909319AA3 bond have on its future price. 909319AA3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 909319AA3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 909319AA3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US909319AA30.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 909319AA3 Bond

909319AA3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 909319AA3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 909319AA3 with respect to the benefits of owning 909319AA3 security.