90041LAF2's market value is the price at which a share of 90041LAF2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US90041LAF22 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US90041LAF22 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 90041LAF2 over a given investment horizon. Check out 90041LAF2 Correlation, 90041LAF2 Volatility and 90041LAF2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 90041LAF2.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 90041LAF2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 90041LAF2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 90041LAF2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
90041LAF2 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 90041LAF2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 90041LAF2.
0.00
12/02/2024
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 30 days
01/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in 90041LAF2 on December 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US90041LAF22 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 90041LAF2 over 30 days. 90041LAF2 is related to or competes with JJill, Ross Stores, Where Food, Lululemon Athletica, Hf Foods, Citi Trends, and Bridgford Foods. More
90041LAF2 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 90041LAF2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US90041LAF22 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 90041LAF2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 90041LAF2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 90041LAF2 historical prices to predict the future 90041LAF2's volatility.
US90041LAF22 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -5.0E-4, which signifies that the bond had a -5.0E-4% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 90041LAF2 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 90041LAF2's Semi Deviation of 1.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.0185, and Coefficient Of Variation of 5723.08 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0838, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 90041LAF2's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 90041LAF2 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
-0.16
Insignificant reverse predictability
US90041LAF22 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 90041LAF2 time series from 2nd of December 2024 to 17th of December 2024 and 17th of December 2024 to 1st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US90041LAF22 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current 90041LAF2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.16
Spearman Rank Test
0.11
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.01
US90041LAF22 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 90041LAF2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 90041LAF2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 90041LAF2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 90041LAF2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
90041LAF2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 90041LAF2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 90041LAF2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 90041LAF2 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
90041LAF2 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 90041LAF2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 90041LAF2 bond have on its future price. 90041LAF2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 90041LAF2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 90041LAF2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US90041LAF22.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
90041LAF2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 90041LAF2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 90041LAF2 with respect to the benefits of owning 90041LAF2 security.