US8426EPAD09 Market Value

8426EPAD0   79.33  3.31  4.01%   
8426EPAD0's market value is the price at which a share of 8426EPAD0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US8426EPAD09 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US8426EPAD09 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 8426EPAD0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 8426EPAD0 Correlation, 8426EPAD0 Volatility and 8426EPAD0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 8426EPAD0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 8426EPAD0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 8426EPAD0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 8426EPAD0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

8426EPAD0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 8426EPAD0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 8426EPAD0.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 8426EPAD0 on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US8426EPAD09 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 8426EPAD0 over 30 days. 8426EPAD0 is related to or competes with Global Ship, Sealed Air, Chemours, Air Lease, Mosaic, Hawkins, and Hertz Global. More

8426EPAD0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 8426EPAD0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US8426EPAD09 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

8426EPAD0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 8426EPAD0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 8426EPAD0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 8426EPAD0 historical prices to predict the future 8426EPAD0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.6079.3380.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.8369.5687.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 8426EPAD0. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 8426EPAD0's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 8426EPAD0's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US8426EPAD09.

US8426EPAD09 Backtested Returns

US8426EPAD09 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.19, which signifies that the bond had a -0.19% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 8426EPAD0 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 8426EPAD0's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15), variance of 0.5328, and Coefficient Of Variation of (522.07) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 8426EPAD0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 8426EPAD0 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

US8426EPAD09 has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 8426EPAD0 time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US8426EPAD09 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current 8426EPAD0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.68
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.26

US8426EPAD09 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 8426EPAD0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 8426EPAD0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 8426EPAD0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 8426EPAD0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

8426EPAD0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 8426EPAD0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 8426EPAD0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 8426EPAD0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

8426EPAD0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 8426EPAD0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 8426EPAD0 bond have on its future price. 8426EPAD0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 8426EPAD0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 8426EPAD0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US8426EPAD09.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 8426EPAD0 Bond

8426EPAD0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 8426EPAD0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 8426EPAD0 with respect to the benefits of owning 8426EPAD0 security.