US82967NBL10 Market Value

82967NBL1   94.52  1.72  1.79%   
82967NBL1's market value is the price at which a share of 82967NBL1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US82967NBL10 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US82967NBL10 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 82967NBL1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 82967NBL1 Correlation, 82967NBL1 Volatility and 82967NBL1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 82967NBL1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 82967NBL1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 82967NBL1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 82967NBL1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

82967NBL1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 82967NBL1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 82967NBL1.
0.00
12/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 82967NBL1 on December 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US82967NBL10 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 82967NBL1 over 360 days. 82967NBL1 is related to or competes with Nuvalent, Lululemon Athletica, Grocery Outlet, Asbury Automotive, Getty Realty, ChargePoint Holdings, and Digi International. More

82967NBL1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 82967NBL1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US82967NBL10 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

82967NBL1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 82967NBL1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 82967NBL1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 82967NBL1 historical prices to predict the future 82967NBL1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.2094.5294.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.2293.54103.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 82967NBL1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 82967NBL1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 82967NBL1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US82967NBL10.

US82967NBL10 Backtested Returns

US82967NBL10 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0936, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0936% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 82967NBL1 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 82967NBL1's Coefficient Of Variation of (6,407), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 2.2 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 82967NBL1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 82967NBL1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

US82967NBL10 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 82967NBL1 time series from 29th of December 2023 to 26th of June 2024 and 26th of June 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US82967NBL10 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current 82967NBL1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.56

US82967NBL10 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 82967NBL1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 82967NBL1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 82967NBL1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 82967NBL1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

82967NBL1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 82967NBL1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 82967NBL1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 82967NBL1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

82967NBL1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 82967NBL1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 82967NBL1 bond have on its future price. 82967NBL1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 82967NBL1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 82967NBL1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US82967NBL10.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 82967NBL1 Bond

82967NBL1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 82967NBL1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 82967NBL1 with respect to the benefits of owning 82967NBL1 security.