STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 Market Value

803014AA7   89.85  0.55  0.61%   
STOAU's market value is the price at which a share of STOAU trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in STOAU over a given investment horizon.
Check out STOAU Correlation, STOAU Volatility and STOAU Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on STOAU.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between STOAU's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STOAU is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STOAU's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

STOAU 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to STOAU's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of STOAU.
0.00
12/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in STOAU on December 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in STOAU over 90 days. STOAU is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, FIH Mobile, Defence Therapeutics, Glow Holdings, Agora, China Resources, and Citizen Watch. More

STOAU Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure STOAU's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

STOAU Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for STOAU's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as STOAU's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use STOAU historical prices to predict the future STOAU's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.4089.8590.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.8889.3398.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.0088.4588.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.7689.7291.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STOAU. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STOAU's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STOAU's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STOAU 3649 29.

STOAU 3649 29 Backtested Returns

At this point, STOAU is very steady. STOAU 3649 29 owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the bond had a close to zero % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for STOAU 3649 29 APR 31, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the bond. Please validate STOAU's variance of 0.9325, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0048%. The entity has a beta of -0.0436, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning STOAU are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, STOAU is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.31  

Poor reverse predictability

STOAU 3649 29 APR 31 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between STOAU time series from 19th of December 2024 to 2nd of February 2025 and 2nd of February 2025 to 19th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of STOAU 3649 29 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current STOAU price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.6

STOAU 3649 29 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is STOAU bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting STOAU's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of STOAU returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that STOAU has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

STOAU regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If STOAU bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if STOAU bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in STOAU bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

STOAU Lagged Returns

When evaluating STOAU's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of STOAU bond have on its future price. STOAU autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, STOAU autocorrelation shows the relationship between STOAU bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in STOAU 3649 29 APR 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in STOAU Bond

STOAU financial ratios help investors to determine whether STOAU Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in STOAU with respect to the benefits of owning STOAU security.