RIO TINTO FIN Market Value

76720AAD8   92.34  2.71  2.85%   
76720AAD8's market value is the price at which a share of 76720AAD8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of RIO TINTO FIN investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of RIO TINTO FIN and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 76720AAD8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 76720AAD8 Correlation, 76720AAD8 Volatility and 76720AAD8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 76720AAD8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 76720AAD8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 76720AAD8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 76720AAD8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

76720AAD8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 76720AAD8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 76720AAD8.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 76720AAD8 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding RIO TINTO FIN or generate 0.0% return on investment in 76720AAD8 over 30 days. 76720AAD8 is related to or competes with Analog Devices, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Nextnav Acquisition, Centessa Pharmaceuticals, Sphere Entertainment, Dave Busters, and Emerson Radio. More

76720AAD8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 76720AAD8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess RIO TINTO FIN upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

76720AAD8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 76720AAD8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 76720AAD8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 76720AAD8 historical prices to predict the future 76720AAD8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.7892.3493.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.7491.3092.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 76720AAD8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 76720AAD8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 76720AAD8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RIO TINTO FIN.

RIO TINTO FIN Backtested Returns

RIO TINTO FIN secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0894, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0894% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. RIO TINTO FIN exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 76720AAD8's Mean Deviation of 0.848, variance of 2.43, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 76720AAD8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 76720AAD8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.21  

Weak reverse predictability

RIO TINTO FIN has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 76720AAD8 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of RIO TINTO FIN price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current 76720AAD8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.21
Spearman Rank Test-0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.93

RIO TINTO FIN lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 76720AAD8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 76720AAD8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 76720AAD8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 76720AAD8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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76720AAD8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 76720AAD8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 76720AAD8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 76720AAD8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

76720AAD8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 76720AAD8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 76720AAD8 bond have on its future price. 76720AAD8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 76720AAD8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 76720AAD8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in RIO TINTO FIN.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 76720AAD8 Bond

76720AAD8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 76720AAD8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 76720AAD8 with respect to the benefits of owning 76720AAD8 security.