NEM 26 15 JUL 32 Market Value

651639AZ9   78.90  6.19  7.27%   
651639AZ9's market value is the price at which a share of 651639AZ9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NEM 26 15 JUL 32 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NEM 26 15 JUL 32 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 651639AZ9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 651639AZ9 Correlation, 651639AZ9 Volatility and 651639AZ9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 651639AZ9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 651639AZ9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 651639AZ9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 651639AZ9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

651639AZ9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 651639AZ9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 651639AZ9.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 651639AZ9 on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NEM 26 15 JUL 32 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 651639AZ9 over 30 days. 651639AZ9 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Republic Bancorp, BYD Co, Fast Retailing, RCM Technologies, and Trio Tech. More

651639AZ9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 651639AZ9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NEM 26 15 JUL 32 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

651639AZ9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 651639AZ9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 651639AZ9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 651639AZ9 historical prices to predict the future 651639AZ9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5978.9080.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.7071.0186.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.9876.2977.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.4784.8890.29
Details

NEM 26 15 Backtested Returns

NEM 26 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which signifies that the bond had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. NEM 26 15 JUL 32 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 651639AZ9's variance of 2.18, and Mean Deviation of 0.6604 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 651639AZ9's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 651639AZ9 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

NEM 26 15 JUL 32 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 651639AZ9 time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NEM 26 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current 651639AZ9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.91
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.66

NEM 26 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 651639AZ9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 651639AZ9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 651639AZ9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 651639AZ9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

651639AZ9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 651639AZ9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 651639AZ9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 651639AZ9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

651639AZ9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 651639AZ9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 651639AZ9 bond have on its future price. 651639AZ9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 651639AZ9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 651639AZ9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NEM 26 15 JUL 32.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 651639AZ9 Bond

651639AZ9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 651639AZ9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 651639AZ9 with respect to the benefits of owning 651639AZ9 security.