NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 Market Value

632525BC4   104.50  0.68  0.65%   
632525BC4's market value is the price at which a share of 632525BC4 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 632525BC4 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 632525BC4 Correlation, 632525BC4 Volatility and 632525BC4 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 632525BC4.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 632525BC4's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 632525BC4 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 632525BC4's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

632525BC4 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 632525BC4's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 632525BC4.
0.00
12/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
03/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 632525BC4 on December 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 632525BC4 over 90 days. 632525BC4 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, FIH Mobile, Defence Therapeutics, Agora, China Resources, and Citizen Watch. More

632525BC4 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 632525BC4's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

632525BC4 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 632525BC4's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 632525BC4's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 632525BC4 historical prices to predict the future 632525BC4's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.04104.50104.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.05105.27105.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.73103.19103.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.73105.23106.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 632525BC4. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 632525BC4's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 632525BC4's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NAB 6429 12.

NAB 6429 12 Backtested Returns

At this point, 632525BC4 is very steady. NAB 6429 12 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which signifies that the bond had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for 632525BC4, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 632525BC4's Mean Deviation of 0.4094, market risk adjusted performance of (1.17), and Information Ratio of 0.0308 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0011%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0658, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 632525BC4's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 632525BC4 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

NAB 6429 12 JAN 33 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 632525BC4 time series from 20th of December 2024 to 3rd of February 2025 and 3rd of February 2025 to 20th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NAB 6429 12 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current 632525BC4 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

NAB 6429 12 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 632525BC4 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 632525BC4's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 632525BC4 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 632525BC4 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

632525BC4 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 632525BC4 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 632525BC4 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 632525BC4 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

632525BC4 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 632525BC4's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 632525BC4 bond have on its future price. 632525BC4 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 632525BC4 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 632525BC4 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NAB 6429 12 JAN 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 632525BC4 Bond

632525BC4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 632525BC4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 632525BC4 with respect to the benefits of owning 632525BC4 security.