MS 2484 16 SEP 36 Market Value

61747YEF8   77.53  5.17  6.25%   
61747YEF8's market value is the price at which a share of 61747YEF8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MS 2484 16 SEP 36 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MS 2484 16 SEP 36 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 61747YEF8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 61747YEF8 Correlation, 61747YEF8 Volatility and 61747YEF8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 61747YEF8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 61747YEF8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 61747YEF8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 61747YEF8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

61747YEF8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 61747YEF8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 61747YEF8.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 61747YEF8 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MS 2484 16 SEP 36 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 61747YEF8 over 30 days. 61747YEF8 is related to or competes with ATT, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Dupont De, GE Aerospace, Johnson Johnson, and Intel. More

61747YEF8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 61747YEF8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MS 2484 16 SEP 36 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

61747YEF8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 61747YEF8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 61747YEF8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 61747YEF8 historical prices to predict the future 61747YEF8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.7077.5378.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.2265.0585.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.7278.5479.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.3776.9582.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 61747YEF8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 61747YEF8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 61747YEF8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MS 2484 16.

MS 2484 16 Backtested Returns

MS 2484 16 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 61747YEF8 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 61747YEF8's Mean Deviation of 1.21, information ratio of (0.07), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (12.09) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.007, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 61747YEF8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 61747YEF8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

MS 2484 16 SEP 36 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 61747YEF8 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MS 2484 16 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current 61747YEF8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.13

MS 2484 16 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 61747YEF8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 61747YEF8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 61747YEF8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 61747YEF8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

61747YEF8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 61747YEF8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 61747YEF8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 61747YEF8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

61747YEF8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 61747YEF8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 61747YEF8 bond have on its future price. 61747YEF8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 61747YEF8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 61747YEF8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MS 2484 16 SEP 36.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 61747YEF8 Bond

61747YEF8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 61747YEF8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 61747YEF8 with respect to the benefits of owning 61747YEF8 security.