MCDONALDS PORATION MTN Market Value

58013MFR0   83.15  0.29  0.35%   
MCDONALDS's market value is the price at which a share of MCDONALDS trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MCDONALDS PORATION MTN investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MCDONALDS PORATION MTN and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MCDONALDS over a given investment horizon.
Check out MCDONALDS Correlation, MCDONALDS Volatility and MCDONALDS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MCDONALDS.
For information on how to trade MCDONALDS Bond refer to our How to Trade MCDONALDS Bond guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MCDONALDS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MCDONALDS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MCDONALDS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MCDONALDS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MCDONALDS's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MCDONALDS.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MCDONALDS on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MCDONALDS PORATION MTN or generate 0.0% return on investment in MCDONALDS over 720 days. MCDONALDS is related to or competes with Barrick Gold, Cheniere Energy, Black Hills, Antero Midstream, PGE Corp, WEC Energy, and Hurco Companies. More

MCDONALDS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MCDONALDS's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MCDONALDS PORATION MTN upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MCDONALDS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MCDONALDS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MCDONALDS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MCDONALDS historical prices to predict the future MCDONALDS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.3483.1583.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1882.9983.80
Details

MCDONALDS PORATION MTN Backtested Returns

MCDONALDS PORATION MTN has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0261, which conveys that the bond had a -0.0261% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. MCDONALDS exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MCDONALDS's Mean Deviation of 1.33, standard deviation of 2.42, and Coefficient Of Variation of (9,196) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The entity secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0119, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MCDONALDS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MCDONALDS is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.04  

Virtually no predictability

MCDONALDS PORATION MTN has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MCDONALDS time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MCDONALDS PORATION MTN price movement. The serial correlation of 0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current MCDONALDS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.87

MCDONALDS PORATION MTN lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MCDONALDS bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MCDONALDS's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MCDONALDS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MCDONALDS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MCDONALDS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MCDONALDS bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MCDONALDS bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MCDONALDS bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MCDONALDS Lagged Returns

When evaluating MCDONALDS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MCDONALDS bond have on its future price. MCDONALDS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MCDONALDS autocorrelation shows the relationship between MCDONALDS bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MCDONALDS PORATION MTN.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in MCDONALDS Bond

MCDONALDS financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCDONALDS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCDONALDS with respect to the benefits of owning MCDONALDS security.