ECL 27 15 DEC 51 Market Value

278865BN9   62.03  1.91  2.99%   
278865BN9's market value is the price at which a share of 278865BN9 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ECL 27 15 DEC 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ECL 27 15 DEC 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 278865BN9 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 278865BN9 Correlation, 278865BN9 Volatility and 278865BN9 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 278865BN9.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 278865BN9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 278865BN9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 278865BN9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

278865BN9 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 278865BN9's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 278865BN9.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 278865BN9 on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ECL 27 15 DEC 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 278865BN9 over 360 days. 278865BN9 is related to or competes with Franklin Credit, Ameriprise Financial, Xponential Fitness, AMCON Distributing, Neogen, Marfrig Global, and Village Super. More

278865BN9 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 278865BN9's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ECL 27 15 DEC 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

278865BN9 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 278865BN9's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 278865BN9's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 278865BN9 historical prices to predict the future 278865BN9's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.0862.0362.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.9353.8868.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.5861.5262.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.4463.2568.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 278865BN9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 278865BN9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 278865BN9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ECL 27 15.

ECL 27 15 Backtested Returns

ECL 27 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ECL 27 15 DEC 51 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 278865BN9's Information Ratio of (0.24), standard deviation of 0.9527, and Mean Deviation of 0.7239 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 278865BN9's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 278865BN9 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

ECL 27 15 DEC 51 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 278865BN9 time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ECL 27 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current 278865BN9 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.39

ECL 27 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 278865BN9 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 278865BN9's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 278865BN9 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 278865BN9 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

278865BN9 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 278865BN9 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 278865BN9 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 278865BN9 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

278865BN9 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 278865BN9's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 278865BN9 bond have on its future price. 278865BN9 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 278865BN9 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 278865BN9 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ECL 27 15 DEC 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 278865BN9 Bond

278865BN9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 278865BN9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 278865BN9 with respect to the benefits of owning 278865BN9 security.