DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS Market Value

26442CAA2   105.35  1.35  1.30%   
26442CAA2's market value is the price at which a share of 26442CAA2 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 26442CAA2 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 26442CAA2 Correlation, 26442CAA2 Volatility and 26442CAA2 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 26442CAA2.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 26442CAA2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 26442CAA2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 26442CAA2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

26442CAA2 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 26442CAA2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 26442CAA2.
0.00
01/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 26442CAA2 on January 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS or generate 0.0% return on investment in 26442CAA2 over 360 days. 26442CAA2 is related to or competes with Aquestive Therapeutics, Summit Hotel, Transcontinental, Canaf Investments, Alternative Investment, Merit Medical, and Ameriprise Financial. More

26442CAA2 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 26442CAA2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

26442CAA2 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 26442CAA2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 26442CAA2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 26442CAA2 historical prices to predict the future 26442CAA2's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.19105.35106.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.52105.68106.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.29107.45108.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.82104.38106.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 26442CAA2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 26442CAA2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 26442CAA2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS.

DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS Backtested Returns

At this point, 26442CAA2 is very steady. DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the bond had a close to zero % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 26442CAA2's Information Ratio of (0.05), standard deviation of 1.25, and Mean Deviation of 1.0 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0059%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0893, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 26442CAA2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 26442CAA2 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.03  

Virtually no predictability

DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 26442CAA2 time series from 26th of January 2024 to 24th of July 2024 and 24th of July 2024 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS price movement. The serial correlation of 0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current 26442CAA2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.03
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.21

DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 26442CAA2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 26442CAA2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 26442CAA2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 26442CAA2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

26442CAA2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 26442CAA2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 26442CAA2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 26442CAA2 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

26442CAA2 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 26442CAA2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 26442CAA2 bond have on its future price. 26442CAA2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 26442CAA2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 26442CAA2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DUKE ENERGY CAROLINAS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 26442CAA2 Bond

26442CAA2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26442CAA2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26442CAA2 with respect to the benefits of owning 26442CAA2 security.