CHD 23 15 DEC 31 Market Value

17136MAA0   86.28  2.34  2.79%   
17136MAA0's market value is the price at which a share of 17136MAA0 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CHD 23 15 DEC 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CHD 23 15 DEC 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 17136MAA0 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 17136MAA0 Correlation, 17136MAA0 Volatility and 17136MAA0 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 17136MAA0.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 17136MAA0's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 17136MAA0 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 17136MAA0's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

17136MAA0 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 17136MAA0's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 17136MAA0.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 17136MAA0 on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHD 23 15 DEC 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 17136MAA0 over 30 days. 17136MAA0 is related to or competes with Sonida Senior, FTAI Aviation, Fortress Transp, HE Equipment, Herc Holdings, U Haul, and Tenaris SA. More

17136MAA0 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 17136MAA0's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHD 23 15 DEC 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

17136MAA0 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 17136MAA0's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 17136MAA0's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 17136MAA0 historical prices to predict the future 17136MAA0's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.6686.2886.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.8585.4794.91
Details

CHD 23 15 Backtested Returns

CHD 23 15 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0929, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0929% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. CHD 23 15 DEC 31 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 17136MAA0's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0199, mean deviation of 0.5856, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4370.32 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.32, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 17136MAA0's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 17136MAA0 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

CHD 23 15 DEC 31 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 17136MAA0 time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHD 23 15 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current 17136MAA0 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.55

CHD 23 15 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 17136MAA0 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 17136MAA0's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 17136MAA0 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 17136MAA0 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

17136MAA0 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 17136MAA0 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 17136MAA0 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 17136MAA0 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

17136MAA0 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 17136MAA0's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 17136MAA0 bond have on its future price. 17136MAA0 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 17136MAA0 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 17136MAA0 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHD 23 15 DEC 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 17136MAA0 Bond

17136MAA0 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 17136MAA0 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 17136MAA0 with respect to the benefits of owning 17136MAA0 security.