CHEVRON P Market Value

166764BW9   96.52  2.14  2.17%   
CHEVRON's market value is the price at which a share of CHEVRON trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CHEVRON P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CHEVRON P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CHEVRON over a given investment horizon.
Check out CHEVRON Correlation, CHEVRON Volatility and CHEVRON Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on CHEVRON.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between CHEVRON's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CHEVRON is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CHEVRON's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CHEVRON 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CHEVRON's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CHEVRON.
0.00
09/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CHEVRON on September 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CHEVRON P or generate 0.0% return on investment in CHEVRON over 90 days. CHEVRON is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Applied Blockchain, BigBearai Holdings, InMode, Sprott Focus, and IONQ. More

CHEVRON Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CHEVRON's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CHEVRON P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CHEVRON Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CHEVRON's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CHEVRON's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CHEVRON historical prices to predict the future CHEVRON's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.1796.5296.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.5982.94106.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.7996.1496.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.5997.62100.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CHEVRON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CHEVRON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CHEVRON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CHEVRON P.

CHEVRON P Backtested Returns

CHEVRON P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CHEVRON P exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm CHEVRON's Standard Deviation of 0.9146, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 0.3671 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning CHEVRON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, CHEVRON is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

CHEVRON P has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CHEVRON time series from 12th of September 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CHEVRON P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current CHEVRON price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45

CHEVRON P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CHEVRON bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CHEVRON's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CHEVRON returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CHEVRON has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

CHEVRON regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CHEVRON bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CHEVRON bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CHEVRON bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

CHEVRON Lagged Returns

When evaluating CHEVRON's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CHEVRON bond have on its future price. CHEVRON autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CHEVRON autocorrelation shows the relationship between CHEVRON bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CHEVRON P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CHEVRON Bond

CHEVRON financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHEVRON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHEVRON with respect to the benefits of owning CHEVRON security.