CVX 39 15 NOV 24 Market Value
| 166756AP1 | 99.39 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | 166756AP1 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 166756AP1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 166756AP1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 166756AP1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
166756AP1 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 166756AP1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 166756AP1.
| 06/20/2023 |
| 12/11/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 166756AP1 on June 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CVX 39 15 NOV 24 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 166756AP1 over 540 days. 166756AP1 is related to or competes with Artisan Partners, Evolution Mining, Pintec Technology, Arrow Financial, Discover Financial, AmTrust Financial, and Mill City. More
166756AP1 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 166756AP1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CVX 39 15 NOV 24 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.33) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.45 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4324 |
166756AP1 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 166756AP1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 166756AP1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 166756AP1 historical prices to predict the future 166756AP1's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5688 |
CVX 15 NOV Backtested Returns
CVX 15 NOV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0588, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0588% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. CVX 39 15 NOV 24 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 166756AP1's Mean Deviation of 0.199, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 0.39 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0283, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 166756AP1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 166756AP1 is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
CVX 39 15 NOV 24 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 166756AP1 time series from 20th of June 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CVX 15 NOV price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current 166756AP1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.67 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
CVX 15 NOV lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 166756AP1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 166756AP1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 166756AP1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 166756AP1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
166756AP1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 166756AP1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 166756AP1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 166756AP1 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
166756AP1 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 166756AP1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 166756AP1 bond have on its future price. 166756AP1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 166756AP1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 166756AP1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CVX 39 15 NOV 24.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 166756AP1 Bond
166756AP1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 166756AP1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 166756AP1 with respect to the benefits of owning 166756AP1 security.