US133131AY84 Market Value

133131AY8   70.75  2.39  3.50%   
133131AY8's market value is the price at which a share of 133131AY8 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US133131AY84 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US133131AY84 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 133131AY8 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 133131AY8 Correlation, 133131AY8 Volatility and 133131AY8 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 133131AY8.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 133131AY8's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 133131AY8 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 133131AY8's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

133131AY8 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 133131AY8's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 133131AY8.
0.00
06/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 29 days
01/11/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 133131AY8 on June 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US133131AY84 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 133131AY8 over 210 days. 133131AY8 is related to or competes with Pekin Life, Alignment Healthcare, Asure Software, Selective Insurance, Pinterest, Cincinnati Financial, and Infosys. More

133131AY8 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 133131AY8's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US133131AY84 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

133131AY8 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 133131AY8's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 133131AY8's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 133131AY8 historical prices to predict the future 133131AY8's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.3070.7572.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.2770.7272.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.7469.2070.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.2470.6774.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 133131AY8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 133131AY8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 133131AY8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US133131AY84.

US133131AY84 Backtested Returns

US133131AY84 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0885, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0885% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 133131AY8 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 133131AY8's Variance of 4.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.0043, and Coefficient Of Variation of (41,119) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 133131AY8's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 133131AY8 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

US133131AY84 has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 133131AY8 time series from 15th of June 2024 to 28th of September 2024 and 28th of September 2024 to 11th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US133131AY84 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current 133131AY8 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.05

US133131AY84 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 133131AY8 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 133131AY8's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 133131AY8 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 133131AY8 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

133131AY8 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 133131AY8 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 133131AY8 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 133131AY8 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

133131AY8 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 133131AY8's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 133131AY8 bond have on its future price. 133131AY8 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 133131AY8 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 133131AY8 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US133131AY84.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 133131AY8 Bond

133131AY8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 133131AY8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 133131AY8 with respect to the benefits of owning 133131AY8 security.