BAXALTA's market value is the price at which a share of BAXALTA trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of BAXALTA INC 525 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of BAXALTA INC 525 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in BAXALTA over a given investment horizon. Check out BAXALTA Correlation, BAXALTA Volatility and BAXALTA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on BAXALTA.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BAXALTA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BAXALTA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BAXALTA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
BAXALTA 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to BAXALTA's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of BAXALTA.
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure BAXALTA's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BAXALTA INC 525 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for BAXALTA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as BAXALTA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use BAXALTA historical prices to predict the future BAXALTA's volatility.
BAXALTA INC 525 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.05, which signifies that the bond had a -0.05% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. BAXALTA INC 525 exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm BAXALTA's Mean Deviation of 0.7677, market risk adjusted performance of (0.54), and Variance of 1.3 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BAXALTA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BAXALTA is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
-0.99
Near perfect reversele predictability
BAXALTA INC 525 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between BAXALTA time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of BAXALTA INC 525 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.99 indicates that 99.0% of current BAXALTA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
-0.99
Spearman Rank Test
-1.0
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
5.63
BAXALTA INC 525 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is BAXALTA bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting BAXALTA's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of BAXALTA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that BAXALTA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
BAXALTA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If BAXALTA bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if BAXALTA bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in BAXALTA bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
BAXALTA Lagged Returns
When evaluating BAXALTA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of BAXALTA bond have on its future price. BAXALTA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, BAXALTA autocorrelation shows the relationship between BAXALTA bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BAXALTA INC 525.
Regressed Prices
Timeline
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
BAXALTA financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAXALTA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAXALTA with respect to the benefits of owning BAXALTA security.