BFH 7 15 JAN 26 Market Value
| 018581AL2 | 100.75 0.86 0.86% |
| Symbol | 018581AL2 |
Please note, there is a significant difference between 018581AL2's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 018581AL2 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 018581AL2's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
018581AL2 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 018581AL2's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 018581AL2.
| 11/06/2023 |
| 12/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in 018581AL2 on November 6, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding BFH 7 15 JAN 26 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 018581AL2 over 420 days. 018581AL2 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Republic Bancorp, BYD Co, Fast Retailing, RCM Technologies, and Trio Tech. More
018581AL2 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 018581AL2's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess BFH 7 15 JAN 26 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.70) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6749 |
018581AL2 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 018581AL2's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 018581AL2's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 018581AL2 historical prices to predict the future 018581AL2's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0126 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0155 |
018581AL2 Backtested Returns
At this point, 018581AL2 is very steady. 018581AL2 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0328, which signifies that the bond had a 0.0328% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for BFH 7 15 JAN 26, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 018581AL2's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0126, mean deviation of 0.6146, and Coefficient Of Variation of 10829.78 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0866%. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 018581AL2's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 018581AL2 is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
BFH 7 15 JAN 26 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 018581AL2 time series from 6th of November 2023 to 3rd of June 2024 and 3rd of June 2024 to 30th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 018581AL2 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current 018581AL2 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.29 |
018581AL2 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is 018581AL2 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 018581AL2's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 018581AL2 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 018581AL2 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
018581AL2 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 018581AL2 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 018581AL2 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 018581AL2 bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
018581AL2 Lagged Returns
When evaluating 018581AL2's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 018581AL2 bond have on its future price. 018581AL2 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 018581AL2 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 018581AL2 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in BFH 7 15 JAN 26.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 018581AL2 Bond
018581AL2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 018581AL2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 018581AL2 with respect to the benefits of owning 018581AL2 security.