AYR 285 26 JAN 28 Market Value

00928QAU5   93.47  0.54  0.57%   
00928QAU5's market value is the price at which a share of 00928QAU5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AYR 285 26 JAN 28 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AYR 285 26 JAN 28 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 00928QAU5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 00928QAU5 Correlation, 00928QAU5 Volatility and 00928QAU5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 00928QAU5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 00928QAU5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 00928QAU5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 00928QAU5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

00928QAU5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 00928QAU5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 00928QAU5.
0.00
12/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 00928QAU5 on December 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AYR 285 26 JAN 28 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 00928QAU5 over 90 days. 00928QAU5 is related to or competes with RBC Bearings, WEC Energy, Suburban Propane, Atmos Energy, Western Midstream, and Estee Lauder. More

00928QAU5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 00928QAU5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AYR 285 26 JAN 28 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

00928QAU5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 00928QAU5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 00928QAU5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 00928QAU5 historical prices to predict the future 00928QAU5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.2593.4793.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.1081.32102.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.6088.8289.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.6793.0498.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 00928QAU5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 00928QAU5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 00928QAU5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AYR 285 26.

AYR 285 26 Backtested Returns

AYR 285 26 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the bond had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AYR 285 26 JAN 28 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 00928QAU5's Standard Deviation of 0.2166, mean deviation of 0.1501, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0037, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 00928QAU5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 00928QAU5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

AYR 285 26 JAN 28 has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 00928QAU5 time series from 20th of December 2024 to 3rd of February 2025 and 3rd of February 2025 to 20th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AYR 285 26 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current 00928QAU5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

AYR 285 26 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 00928QAU5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 00928QAU5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 00928QAU5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 00928QAU5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

00928QAU5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 00928QAU5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 00928QAU5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 00928QAU5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

00928QAU5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 00928QAU5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 00928QAU5 bond have on its future price. 00928QAU5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 00928QAU5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 00928QAU5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AYR 285 26 JAN 28.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 00928QAU5 Bond

00928QAU5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00928QAU5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00928QAU5 with respect to the benefits of owning 00928QAU5 security.