US Physical (Germany) Market Value

UPH Stock  EUR 85.50  0.50  0.58%   
US Physical's market value is the price at which a share of US Physical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US Physical Therapy investors about its performance. US Physical is trading at 85.50 as of the 4th of January 2025. This is a 0.58 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 85.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US Physical Therapy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in US Physical over a given investment horizon. Check out US Physical Correlation, US Physical Volatility and US Physical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on US Physical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between US Physical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Physical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Physical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

US Physical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to US Physical's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of US Physical.
0.00
11/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
01/04/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in US Physical on November 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US Physical Therapy or generate 0.0% return on investment in US Physical over 60 days. US Physical is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, Talanx AG, NorAm Drilling, and Identiv. Physical Therapy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates outpatient physical therapy clinics that provide pre-and post... More

US Physical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure US Physical's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US Physical Therapy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

US Physical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for US Physical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as US Physical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use US Physical historical prices to predict the future US Physical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.4086.0088.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.5369.1394.60
Details

US Physical Therapy Backtested Returns

US Physical appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. US Physical Therapy retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for US Physical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review US Physical's Downside Deviation of 1.56, risk adjusted performance of 0.0859, and Mean Deviation of 1.51 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, US Physical holds a performance score of 9. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning US Physical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, US Physical is likely to outperform the market. Please check US Physical's information ratio, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether US Physical's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

US Physical Therapy has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between US Physical time series from 5th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 4th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US Physical Therapy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current US Physical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.34

US Physical Therapy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is US Physical stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting US Physical's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of US Physical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that US Physical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

US Physical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If US Physical stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if US Physical stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in US Physical stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

US Physical Lagged Returns

When evaluating US Physical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of US Physical stock have on its future price. US Physical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, US Physical autocorrelation shows the relationship between US Physical stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US Physical Therapy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in UPH Stock

US Physical financial ratios help investors to determine whether UPH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UPH with respect to the benefits of owning US Physical security.