Global Managed Volatility Fund Market Value

UGOFX Fund  USD 11.20  0.06  0.54%   
Global Managed's market value is the price at which a share of Global Managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Managed Volatility investors about its performance. Global Managed is trading at 11.20 as of the 20th of January 2025; that is 0.54 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Managed Volatility and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Managed Correlation, Global Managed Volatility and Global Managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Managed.
0.00
01/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
01/20/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Managed on January 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Managed Volatility or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Managed over 360 days. Global Managed is related to or competes with Versatile Bond, Federated High, T Rowe, Gmo High, Siit High, Ambrus Core, and Ab Bond. The funds principal strategy is to combine a portfolio of domestic and foreign equity securities, including emerging mar... More

Global Managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Managed Volatility upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Managed historical prices to predict the future Global Managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5211.2011.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5511.2311.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7011.3812.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8511.1311.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Managed Volatility.

Global Managed Volatility Backtested Returns

Global Managed Volatility holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0581, which attests that the entity had a -0.0581 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Managed Volatility exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Managed's Standard Deviation of 0.6715, market risk adjusted performance of (0.21), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.31, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.12  

Insignificant predictability

Global Managed Volatility has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Managed time series from 26th of January 2024 to 24th of July 2024 and 24th of July 2024 to 20th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Managed Volatility price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Global Managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.12
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Global Managed Volatility lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Managed mutual fund have on its future price. Global Managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Managed Volatility.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Managed security.
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