Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Fund Market Value

UBVLX Fund  USD 83.82  0.42  0.50%   
Undiscovered Managers' market value is the price at which a share of Undiscovered Managers trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Undiscovered Managers Behavioral investors about its performance. Undiscovered Managers is trading at 83.82 as of the 27th of February 2025; that is 0.5 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 84.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Undiscovered Managers Behavioral and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Undiscovered Managers over a given investment horizon. Check out Undiscovered Managers Correlation, Undiscovered Managers Volatility and Undiscovered Managers Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Undiscovered Managers.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Undiscovered Managers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Undiscovered Managers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Undiscovered Managers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Undiscovered Managers 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Undiscovered Managers' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Undiscovered Managers.
0.00
01/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/27/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Undiscovered Managers on January 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Undiscovered Managers Behavioral or generate 0.0% return on investment in Undiscovered Managers over 30 days. Undiscovered Managers is related to or competes with Hartford Small, Midcap Fund, Undiscovered Managers, Crm Mid, and Fuller Thaler. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing in common stocks of U.S More

Undiscovered Managers Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Undiscovered Managers' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Undiscovered Managers Behavioral upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Undiscovered Managers Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Undiscovered Managers' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Undiscovered Managers' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Undiscovered Managers historical prices to predict the future Undiscovered Managers' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.7983.8284.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.8375.8692.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.3185.3486.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.5585.5887.61
Details

Undiscovered Managers Backtested Returns

Undiscovered Managers owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which indicates the fund had a -0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Undiscovered Managers Behavioral exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Undiscovered Managers' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (1,189), and Variance of 1.08 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.81, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Undiscovered Managers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Undiscovered Managers is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

Undiscovered Managers Behavioral has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Undiscovered Managers time series from 28th of January 2025 to 12th of February 2025 and 12th of February 2025 to 27th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Undiscovered Managers price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Undiscovered Managers price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.82

Undiscovered Managers lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Undiscovered Managers mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Undiscovered Managers' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Undiscovered Managers returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Undiscovered Managers has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Undiscovered Managers regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Undiscovered Managers mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Undiscovered Managers mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Undiscovered Managers mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Undiscovered Managers Lagged Returns

When evaluating Undiscovered Managers' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Undiscovered Managers mutual fund have on its future price. Undiscovered Managers autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Undiscovered Managers autocorrelation shows the relationship between Undiscovered Managers mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Undiscovered Managers Behavioral.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Undiscovered Mutual Fund

Undiscovered Managers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Undiscovered Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Undiscovered with respect to the benefits of owning Undiscovered Managers security.
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