Timothy Fixed Income Fund Market Value

TPFIX Fund  USD 8.93  0.04  0.45%   
Timothy Fixed's market value is the price at which a share of Timothy Fixed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Timothy Fixed Income investors about its performance. Timothy Fixed is trading at 8.93 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 0.45 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.97.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Timothy Fixed Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Timothy Fixed over a given investment horizon. Check out Timothy Fixed Correlation, Timothy Fixed Volatility and Timothy Fixed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Timothy Fixed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Fixed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Fixed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Fixed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Timothy Fixed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timothy Fixed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timothy Fixed.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Timothy Fixed on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timothy Fixed Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timothy Fixed over 30 days. Timothy Fixed is related to or competes with Volumetric Fund, Falcon Focus, and Red Oak. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of corporate bonds, U.S More

Timothy Fixed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timothy Fixed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timothy Fixed Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Timothy Fixed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Fixed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timothy Fixed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timothy Fixed historical prices to predict the future Timothy Fixed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.618.939.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.658.979.29
Details

Timothy Fixed Income Backtested Returns

Timothy Fixed Income owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.2, which indicates the fund had a -0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Timothy Fixed Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Timothy Fixed's Variance of 0.1042, coefficient of variation of (575.60), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0177, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Timothy Fixed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Timothy Fixed is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Timothy Fixed Income has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timothy Fixed time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timothy Fixed Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Timothy Fixed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Timothy Fixed Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Timothy Fixed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Timothy Fixed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Timothy Fixed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Timothy Fixed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Timothy Fixed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Timothy Fixed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Timothy Fixed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Timothy Fixed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Timothy Fixed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Timothy Fixed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Timothy Fixed mutual fund have on its future price. Timothy Fixed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Timothy Fixed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Timothy Fixed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Timothy Fixed Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Fixed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Fixed security.
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