Tomra Systems (Norway) Market Value

TOM Stock  NOK 158.00  1.40  0.88%   
Tomra Systems' market value is the price at which a share of Tomra Systems trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tomra Systems ASA investors about its performance. Tomra Systems is selling for 158.00 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 0.88% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 157.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tomra Systems ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tomra Systems over a given investment horizon. Check out Tomra Systems Correlation, Tomra Systems Volatility and Tomra Systems Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tomra Systems.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tomra Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tomra Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tomra Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tomra Systems 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tomra Systems' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tomra Systems.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tomra Systems on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tomra Systems ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tomra Systems over 30 days. Tomra Systems is related to or competes with Eidesvik Offshore, Borgestad, Kitron ASA, Havila Shipping, and Arendals Fossekompani. Tomra Systems ASA provides sensor-based solutions for optimal resource productivity worldwide More

Tomra Systems Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tomra Systems' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tomra Systems ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tomra Systems Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tomra Systems' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tomra Systems' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tomra Systems historical prices to predict the future Tomra Systems' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.57158.00160.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
126.45128.88173.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
166.39168.82171.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
139.31152.77166.23
Details

Tomra Systems ASA Backtested Returns

Tomra Systems ASA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -3.0E-4, which indicates the firm had a -3.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tomra Systems ASA exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tomra Systems' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0098, coefficient of variation of 25696.22, and Semi Deviation of 2.25 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.35, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Tomra Systems' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tomra Systems is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Tomra Systems ASA has a negative expected return of -8.0E-4%. Please make sure to validate Tomra Systems' semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Tomra Systems ASA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.68  

Very good reverse predictability

Tomra Systems ASA has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tomra Systems time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tomra Systems ASA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Tomra Systems price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.68
Spearman Rank Test-0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance50.76

Tomra Systems ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tomra Systems stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tomra Systems' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tomra Systems returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tomra Systems has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tomra Systems regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tomra Systems stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tomra Systems stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tomra Systems stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tomra Systems Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tomra Systems' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tomra Systems stock have on its future price. Tomra Systems autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tomra Systems autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tomra Systems stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tomra Systems ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tomra Stock

Tomra Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tomra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tomra with respect to the benefits of owning Tomra Systems security.