Counterpoint Tactical Municipal Fund Market Value

TMNAX Fund  USD 10.95  0.04  0.36%   
Counterpoint Tactical's market value is the price at which a share of Counterpoint Tactical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Counterpoint Tactical Municipal investors about its performance. Counterpoint Tactical is trading at 10.95 as of the 15th of December 2024; that is 0.36 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Counterpoint Tactical Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Counterpoint Tactical over a given investment horizon. Check out Counterpoint Tactical Correlation, Counterpoint Tactical Volatility and Counterpoint Tactical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Counterpoint Tactical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Counterpoint Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Counterpoint Tactical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Counterpoint Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Counterpoint Tactical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Counterpoint Tactical.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Counterpoint Tactical on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Counterpoint Tactical Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Counterpoint Tactical over 30 days. Counterpoint Tactical is related to or competes with Counterpoint Tactical, Counterpoint Tactical, Counterpoint Tactical, Counterpoint Tactical, Counterpoint Tactical, and Counterpoint Tactical. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in, or derives at least 80 percent of... More

Counterpoint Tactical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Counterpoint Tactical Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Counterpoint Tactical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Counterpoint Tactical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Counterpoint Tactical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Counterpoint Tactical historical prices to predict the future Counterpoint Tactical's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6310.9111.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0810.3612.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5810.8611.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8110.9411.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Counterpoint Tactical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Counterpoint Tactical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Counterpoint Tactical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Counterpoint Tactical.

Counterpoint Tactical Backtested Returns

Counterpoint Tactical secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0392, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0392% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Counterpoint Tactical Municipal exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Counterpoint Tactical's Standard Deviation of 0.2714, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.1528 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0951, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Counterpoint Tactical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Counterpoint Tactical is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Counterpoint Tactical Municipal has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Counterpoint Tactical time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Counterpoint Tactical price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Counterpoint Tactical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Counterpoint Tactical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Counterpoint Tactical's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Counterpoint Tactical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Counterpoint Tactical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Counterpoint Tactical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Counterpoint Tactical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Counterpoint Tactical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund have on its future price. Counterpoint Tactical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Counterpoint Tactical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Counterpoint Tactical mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Counterpoint Tactical Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Counterpoint Mutual Fund

Counterpoint Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Counterpoint Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Counterpoint with respect to the benefits of owning Counterpoint Tactical security.
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