Talisman Mining (Australia) Market Value

TLM Stock   0.18  0.01  5.26%   
Talisman Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Talisman Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Talisman Mining investors about its performance. Talisman Mining is selling for under 0.18 as of the 26th of February 2025; that is 5.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Talisman Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Talisman Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Talisman Mining Correlation, Talisman Mining Volatility and Talisman Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Talisman Mining.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Talisman Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talisman Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talisman Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Talisman Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Talisman Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Talisman Mining.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Talisman Mining on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Talisman Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Talisman Mining over 30 days. Talisman Mining is related to or competes with Ainsworth Game, Sports Entertainment, Mayfield Childcare, ARN Media, Nine Entertainment, and Seven West. Talisman Mining is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange. More

Talisman Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Talisman Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Talisman Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Talisman Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Talisman Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Talisman Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Talisman Mining historical prices to predict the future Talisman Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.183.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.163.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.193.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.180.190.21
Details

Talisman Mining Backtested Returns

Talisman Mining owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0725, which indicates the firm had a -0.0725 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Talisman Mining exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Talisman Mining's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), variance of 14.57, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,277) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0092, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Talisman Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Talisman Mining is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Talisman Mining has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to validate Talisman Mining's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Talisman Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

Talisman Mining has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Talisman Mining time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Talisman Mining price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Talisman Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Talisman Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Talisman Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Talisman Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Talisman Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Talisman Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Talisman Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Talisman Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Talisman Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Talisman Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Talisman Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Talisman Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Talisman Mining stock have on its future price. Talisman Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Talisman Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Talisman Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Talisman Mining.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Talisman Stock Analysis

When running Talisman Mining's price analysis, check to measure Talisman Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Talisman Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Talisman Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Talisman Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Talisman Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Talisman Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.