Tikehau Capital (France) Market Value

TKO Stock  EUR 21.05  0.05  0.24%   
Tikehau Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Tikehau Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tikehau Capital investors about its performance. Tikehau Capital is trading at 21.05 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.24 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 21.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tikehau Capital and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tikehau Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Tikehau Capital Correlation, Tikehau Capital Volatility and Tikehau Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tikehau Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tikehau Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tikehau Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tikehau Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tikehau Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tikehau Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tikehau Capital.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tikehau Capital on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tikehau Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tikehau Capital over 30 days. Tikehau Capital is related to or competes with Eurazeo, Wendel, SPIE SA, Amundi SA, and Edenred SA. Tikehau Capital is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in providing a full range of financing product... More

Tikehau Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tikehau Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tikehau Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tikehau Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tikehau Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tikehau Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tikehau Capital historical prices to predict the future Tikehau Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.7721.0522.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4417.7223.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.1021.3822.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.2520.7121.17
Details

Tikehau Capital Backtested Returns

Tikehau Capital owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0656, which indicates the firm had a -0.0656% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Tikehau Capital exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Tikehau Capital's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,758), variance of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0882, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Tikehau Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Tikehau Capital is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Tikehau Capital has a negative expected return of -0.084%. Please make sure to validate Tikehau Capital's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Tikehau Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Tikehau Capital has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tikehau Capital time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tikehau Capital price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Tikehau Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Tikehau Capital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tikehau Capital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tikehau Capital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tikehau Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tikehau Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tikehau Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tikehau Capital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tikehau Capital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tikehau Capital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tikehau Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tikehau Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tikehau Capital stock have on its future price. Tikehau Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tikehau Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tikehau Capital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tikehau Capital.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tikehau Stock

Tikehau Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tikehau Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tikehau with respect to the benefits of owning Tikehau Capital security.