Thornburg E Growth Fund Market Value

THGRX Fund  USD 37.81  0.06  0.16%   
Thornburg's market value is the price at which a share of Thornburg trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thornburg E Growth investors about its performance. Thornburg is trading at 37.81 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 0.16% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 37.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thornburg E Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thornburg over a given investment horizon. Check out Thornburg Correlation, Thornburg Volatility and Thornburg Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thornburg.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thornburg's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thornburg is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thornburg's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thornburg 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thornburg on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg E Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg over 30 days. Thornburg is related to or competes with Thornburg Value, Thornburg Value, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, and Thornburg. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in small- and mid-capitalization compani... More

Thornburg Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg E Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thornburg Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg historical prices to predict the future Thornburg's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.7237.9039.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6538.8340.01
Details

Thornburg E Growth Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Thornburg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Thornburg E Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the fund had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Thornburg E Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Thornburg's Semi Deviation of 0.8452, risk adjusted performance of 0.1158, and Coefficient Of Variation of 647.44 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. The entity has a beta of 1.25, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Thornburg will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

Thornburg E Growth has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg E Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Thornburg price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Thornburg E Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thornburg regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thornburg's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg E Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg security.
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