Templeton Global Bond Fund Market Value

TGBAX Fund  USD 6.73  0.04  0.60%   
Templeton Global's market value is the price at which a share of Templeton Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Templeton Global Bond investors about its performance. Templeton Global is trading at 6.73 as of the 22nd of February 2025; that is 0.60 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Templeton Global Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Templeton Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Templeton Global Correlation, Templeton Global Volatility and Templeton Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Templeton Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Templeton Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Templeton Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Templeton Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Templeton Global.
0.00
12/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
02/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Templeton Global on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Templeton Global Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Templeton Global over 60 days. Templeton Global is related to or competes with Arrow Managed, Ab Bond, Credit Suisse, Simt Multi-asset, Tiaa Cref, and Aqr Managed. The investment seeks current income with capital appreciation and growth of income More

Templeton Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Templeton Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Templeton Global Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Templeton Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Templeton Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Templeton Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Templeton Global historical prices to predict the future Templeton Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.256.737.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.216.697.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Templeton Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Templeton Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Templeton Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Templeton Global Bond.

Templeton Global Bond Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Templeton Mutual Fund to be very steady. Templeton Global Bond owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of close to zero, which indicates the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Templeton Global Bond, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Templeton Global's Semi Deviation of 0.4548, risk adjusted performance of 4.0E-4, and Coefficient Of Variation of 12998.06 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0036%. The entity has a beta of 0.0391, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Templeton Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Templeton Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

Templeton Global Bond has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Templeton Global time series from 24th of December 2024 to 23rd of January 2025 and 23rd of January 2025 to 22nd of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Templeton Global Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current Templeton Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Templeton ReturnsTempleton Lagged ReturnsDiversified AwayTempleton ReturnsTempleton Lagged ReturnsDiversified Away100%

Templeton Global Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Templeton Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Templeton Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Templeton Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Templeton Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 23Jan 27Jan 31FebFeb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20-1.5%-1.0%-0.5%0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Volume Lagged Volume Prices Lagged Prices
       Timeline  

Templeton Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Templeton Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Templeton Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Templeton Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Jan 23Jan 27Jan 31FebFeb 08Feb 12Feb 16Feb 206.456.506.556.606.656.70
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Regression Prices Lagged Regression Prices
       Timeline  

Templeton Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Templeton Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Templeton Global mutual fund have on its future price. Templeton Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Templeton Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Templeton Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Templeton Global Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 30JanJan 13Jan 20Jan 27FebFeb 10Feb 176.406.456.506.556.606.656.70
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lagged Returns Returns
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Templeton Mutual Fund

Templeton Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Templeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Templeton with respect to the benefits of owning Templeton Global security.
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