Alpssmith Short Duration Fund Market Value
| SMCMX Fund | USD 10.15 0.01 0.1% |
| Symbol | Alpssmith |
Alpssmith Short 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alpssmith Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alpssmith Short.
| 11/10/2024 |
| 01/09/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alpssmith Short on November 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alpssmith Short Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alpssmith Short over 60 days. Alpssmith Short is related to or competes with Vest Large, Pace Large, Profunds-large Cap, Guidemark(r) Large, Fundamental Large, and Americafirst Large. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in short- and intermediate-term fixe... More
Alpssmith Short Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alpssmith Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alpssmith Short Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.33) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.5911 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.0987 |
Alpssmith Short Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alpssmith Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alpssmith Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alpssmith Short historical prices to predict the future Alpssmith Short's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (4.70) |
Alpssmith Short Duration Backtested Returns
Alpssmith Short Duration secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0323, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0323% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Alpssmith Short Duration exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alpssmith Short's Standard Deviation of 0.1068, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 0.0704 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0037, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alpssmith Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpssmith Short is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Alpssmith Short Duration has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alpssmith Short time series from 10th of November 2024 to 10th of December 2024 and 10th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alpssmith Short Duration price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Alpssmith Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Alpssmith Short Duration lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alpssmith Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alpssmith Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alpssmith Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alpssmith Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alpssmith Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alpssmith Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alpssmith Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alpssmith Short mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alpssmith Short Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alpssmith Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alpssmith Short mutual fund have on its future price. Alpssmith Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alpssmith Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alpssmith Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alpssmith Short Duration.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Alpssmith Mutual Fund
Alpssmith Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpssmith Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpssmith with respect to the benefits of owning Alpssmith Short security.
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