Sindh Modaraba (Pakistan) Market Value

SINDM Stock   10.20  0.18  1.73%   
Sindh Modaraba's market value is the price at which a share of Sindh Modaraba trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sindh Modaraba Management investors about its performance. Sindh Modaraba is selling for 10.20 as of the 14th of December 2024. This is a 1.73 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 10.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sindh Modaraba Management and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sindh Modaraba over a given investment horizon. Check out Sindh Modaraba Correlation, Sindh Modaraba Volatility and Sindh Modaraba Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sindh Modaraba.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sindh Modaraba's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sindh Modaraba is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sindh Modaraba's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sindh Modaraba 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sindh Modaraba's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sindh Modaraba.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sindh Modaraba on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sindh Modaraba Management or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sindh Modaraba over 30 days. Sindh Modaraba is related to or competes with Masood Textile, Fauji Foods, KSB Pumps, Mari Petroleum, Loads, Thatta Cement, and KOT Addu. More

Sindh Modaraba Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sindh Modaraba's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sindh Modaraba Management upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sindh Modaraba Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sindh Modaraba's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sindh Modaraba's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sindh Modaraba historical prices to predict the future Sindh Modaraba's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7410.2012.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.928.3810.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7610.2212.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.329.8910.47
Details

Sindh Modaraba Management Backtested Returns

As of now, Sindh Stock is somewhat reliable. Sindh Modaraba Management owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0776, which indicates the firm had a 0.0776% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Sindh Modaraba Management, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Sindh Modaraba's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0024, variance of 6.45, and Coefficient Of Variation of (15,401) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Sindh Modaraba has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.0471, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Sindh Modaraba are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Sindh Modaraba is likely to outperform the market. Sindh Modaraba Management right now has a risk of 2.46%. Please validate Sindh Modaraba jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Sindh Modaraba will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

Sindh Modaraba Management has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sindh Modaraba time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sindh Modaraba Management price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Sindh Modaraba price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Sindh Modaraba Management lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sindh Modaraba stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sindh Modaraba's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sindh Modaraba returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sindh Modaraba has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sindh Modaraba regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sindh Modaraba stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sindh Modaraba stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sindh Modaraba stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sindh Modaraba Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sindh Modaraba's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sindh Modaraba stock have on its future price. Sindh Modaraba autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sindh Modaraba autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sindh Modaraba stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sindh Modaraba Management.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Sindh Modaraba

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sindh Modaraba position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sindh Modaraba will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Sindh Stock

  0.67FFL Fauji FoodsPairCorr
  0.7KSBP KSB PumpsPairCorr
  0.7LOADS LoadsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sindh Modaraba could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sindh Modaraba when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sindh Modaraba - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sindh Modaraba Management to buy it.
The correlation of Sindh Modaraba is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sindh Modaraba moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sindh Modaraba Management moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sindh Modaraba can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Sindh Stock

Sindh Modaraba financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sindh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sindh with respect to the benefits of owning Sindh Modaraba security.