SPECTRAL MEDICAL (Germany) Market Value

SD4 Stock  EUR 0.35  0.01  2.78%   
SPECTRAL MEDICAL's market value is the price at which a share of SPECTRAL MEDICAL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SPECTRAL MEDICAL investors about its performance. SPECTRAL MEDICAL is trading at 0.35 as of the 8th of January 2025. This is a 2.78 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SPECTRAL MEDICAL and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SPECTRAL MEDICAL over a given investment horizon. Check out SPECTRAL MEDICAL Correlation, SPECTRAL MEDICAL Volatility and SPECTRAL MEDICAL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SPECTRAL MEDICAL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SPECTRAL MEDICAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPECTRAL MEDICAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPECTRAL MEDICAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SPECTRAL MEDICAL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SPECTRAL MEDICAL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SPECTRAL MEDICAL.
0.00
12/09/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/08/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SPECTRAL MEDICAL on December 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SPECTRAL MEDICAL or generate 0.0% return on investment in SPECTRAL MEDICAL over 30 days. SPECTRAL MEDICAL is related to or competes with Thermo Fisher, Danaher, Siemens Healthineers, and Agilent Technologies. Spectral Medical Inc. focuses on the development and commercialization of treatment for septic shock in North America More

SPECTRAL MEDICAL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SPECTRAL MEDICAL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SPECTRAL MEDICAL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SPECTRAL MEDICAL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SPECTRAL MEDICAL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SPECTRAL MEDICAL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SPECTRAL MEDICAL historical prices to predict the future SPECTRAL MEDICAL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.355.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.305.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.385.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.310.340.37
Details

SPECTRAL MEDICAL Backtested Returns

SPECTRAL MEDICAL owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0036, which indicates the firm had a -0.0036% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. SPECTRAL MEDICAL exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SPECTRAL MEDICAL's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 26.43 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.0013, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SPECTRAL MEDICAL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SPECTRAL MEDICAL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, SPECTRAL MEDICAL has a negative expected return of -0.0178%. Please make sure to validate SPECTRAL MEDICAL's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if SPECTRAL MEDICAL performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.18  

Insignificant reverse predictability

SPECTRAL MEDICAL has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SPECTRAL MEDICAL time series from 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024 and 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SPECTRAL MEDICAL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current SPECTRAL MEDICAL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.18
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

SPECTRAL MEDICAL lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SPECTRAL MEDICAL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SPECTRAL MEDICAL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SPECTRAL MEDICAL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SPECTRAL MEDICAL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SPECTRAL MEDICAL Lagged Returns

When evaluating SPECTRAL MEDICAL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock have on its future price. SPECTRAL MEDICAL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SPECTRAL MEDICAL autocorrelation shows the relationship between SPECTRAL MEDICAL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SPECTRAL MEDICAL.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SPECTRAL Stock

SPECTRAL MEDICAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether SPECTRAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SPECTRAL with respect to the benefits of owning SPECTRAL MEDICAL security.