Sa Real Estate Fund Market Value

SAREX Fund  USD 12.44  0.16  1.27%   
Sa Real's market value is the price at which a share of Sa Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Sa Real Estate investors about its performance. Sa Real is trading at 12.44 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 1.27 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Sa Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Sa Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Sa Real Correlation, Sa Real Volatility and Sa Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sa Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sa Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sa Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sa Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sa Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sa Real's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sa Real.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Sa Real on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sa Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sa Real over 30 days. Sa Real is related to or competes with Evaluator Conservative, Harbor Diversified, Jhancock Diversified, Massmutual Premier, Blackrock Conservative, Prudential Core, and Delaware Limited-term. The fund is designed to purchase readily marketable equity securities of companies the principal activities of which inc... More

Sa Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sa Real's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sa Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Sa Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sa Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sa Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sa Real historical prices to predict the future Sa Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sa Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5612.4413.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5512.4313.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9412.8113.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2312.4212.60
Details

Sa Real Estate Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider SAREX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Sa Real Estate retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0524, which indicates the fund had a 0.0524% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Sa Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Sa Real's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0374, downside deviation of 0.9318, and Mean Deviation of 0.7034 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0459%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.16, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Sa Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sa Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Sa Real Estate has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sa Real time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sa Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Sa Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Sa Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Sa Real mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sa Real's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sa Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sa Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Sa Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sa Real mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sa Real mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sa Real mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Sa Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Sa Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sa Real mutual fund have on its future price. Sa Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sa Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sa Real mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sa Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SAREX Mutual Fund

Sa Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAREX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAREX with respect to the benefits of owning Sa Real security.
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