Royce Premier Fund Market Value
| RPRCX Fund | USD 8.59 0.10 1.15% |
| Symbol | Royce |
Royce Premier 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Royce Premier's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Royce Premier.
| 11/15/2024 |
| 12/15/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Royce Premier on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Royce Premier Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Royce Premier over 30 days. Royce Premier is related to or competes with Royce Opportunity, Royce Opportunity, Royce Opportunity, Royce Premier, Royce Special, Royce Special, and Royce Total. The funds investment adviser invests the funds assets in a limited number of equity securities of primarily small-cap co... More
Royce Premier Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Royce Premier's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Royce Premier Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
Royce Premier Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Royce Premier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Royce Premier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Royce Premier historical prices to predict the future Royce Premier's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.02) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royce Premier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Royce Premier Backtested Returns
Royce Premier maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0336, which implies the entity had a -0.0336% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Royce Premier exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Royce Premier's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, variance of 2.26, and Coefficient Of Variation of (9,118) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 1.33, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royce Premier will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | -0.62 |
Very good reverse predictability
Royce Premier Fund has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Royce Premier time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Royce Premier price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Royce Premier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.62 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.84 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.18 |
Royce Premier lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Royce Premier mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Royce Premier's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Royce Premier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Royce Premier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Royce Premier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Royce Premier mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Royce Premier mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Royce Premier mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Royce Premier Lagged Returns
When evaluating Royce Premier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Royce Premier mutual fund have on its future price. Royce Premier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Royce Premier autocorrelation shows the relationship between Royce Premier mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Royce Premier Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Royce Mutual Fund
Royce Premier financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royce Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royce with respect to the benefits of owning Royce Premier security.
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