Davis Appreciation Income Fund Market Value

RPFCX Fund  USD 59.39  0.89  1.48%   
Davis Appreciation's market value is the price at which a share of Davis Appreciation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Davis Appreciation Income investors about its performance. Davis Appreciation is trading at 59.39 as of the 16th of March 2025; that is 1.48% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 60.28.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Davis Appreciation Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Davis Appreciation over a given investment horizon. Check out Davis Appreciation Correlation, Davis Appreciation Volatility and Davis Appreciation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Davis Appreciation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Davis Appreciation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Davis Appreciation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Davis Appreciation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Davis Appreciation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Davis Appreciation's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Davis Appreciation.
0.00
12/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/16/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Davis Appreciation on December 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Davis Appreciation Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Davis Appreciation over 90 days. Davis Appreciation is related to or competes with Federated Adjustable, T Rowe, Jp Morgan, Boyd Watterson, Eip Growth, and Rbb Fund. The funds investment adviser uses the Davis Investment Discipline to invest Davis Appreciation Income Funds assets in a ... More

Davis Appreciation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Davis Appreciation's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Davis Appreciation Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Davis Appreciation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Davis Appreciation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Davis Appreciation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Davis Appreciation historical prices to predict the future Davis Appreciation's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Davis Appreciation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.3459.3960.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.2558.3065.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.2159.2660.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.6161.0263.43
Details

Davis Appreciation Income Backtested Returns

Davis Appreciation Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0963, which denotes the fund had a -0.0963 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Davis Appreciation Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Davis Appreciation's Variance of 0.954, mean deviation of 0.6181, and Standard Deviation of 0.9767 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0266, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Davis Appreciation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Davis Appreciation is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

Davis Appreciation Income has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Davis Appreciation time series from 16th of December 2024 to 30th of January 2025 and 30th of January 2025 to 16th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Davis Appreciation Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Davis Appreciation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.89

Davis Appreciation Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Davis Appreciation mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Davis Appreciation's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Davis Appreciation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Davis Appreciation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Davis Appreciation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Davis Appreciation mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Davis Appreciation mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Davis Appreciation mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Davis Appreciation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Davis Appreciation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Davis Appreciation mutual fund have on its future price. Davis Appreciation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Davis Appreciation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Davis Appreciation mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Davis Appreciation Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund

Davis Appreciation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis Appreciation security.
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