Richter Gedeon (Germany) Market Value

RIG2 Stock  EUR 25.40  0.50  1.93%   
Richter Gedeon's market value is the price at which a share of Richter Gedeon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti investors about its performance. Richter Gedeon is trading at 25.40 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a 1.93 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 25.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Richter Gedeon over a given investment horizon. Check out Richter Gedeon Correlation, Richter Gedeon Volatility and Richter Gedeon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Richter Gedeon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Richter Gedeon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Richter Gedeon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Richter Gedeon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Richter Gedeon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Richter Gedeon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Richter Gedeon.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Richter Gedeon on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti or generate 0.0% return on investment in Richter Gedeon over 90 days. Richter Gedeon is related to or competes with Zoetis, Eisai Co, and Shionogi. Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti Gyr Nyilvnosan Mukdo Rt More

Richter Gedeon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Richter Gedeon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Richter Gedeon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Richter Gedeon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Richter Gedeon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Richter Gedeon historical prices to predict the future Richter Gedeon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7325.4027.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.0622.7327.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.6325.3026.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.3126.7628.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Richter Gedeon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Richter Gedeon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Richter Gedeon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti.

Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti Backtested Returns

Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0618, which implies the firm had a -0.0618% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Richter Gedeon's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (1,588), and Variance of 2.75 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.028, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Richter Gedeon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Richter Gedeon is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to check Richter Gedeon's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Richter Gedeon time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current Richter Gedeon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.44

Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Richter Gedeon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Richter Gedeon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Richter Gedeon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Richter Gedeon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Richter Gedeon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Richter Gedeon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Richter Gedeon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Richter Gedeon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Richter Gedeon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Richter Gedeon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Richter Gedeon stock have on its future price. Richter Gedeon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Richter Gedeon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Richter Gedeon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Richter Stock

Richter Gedeon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Richter Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Richter with respect to the benefits of owning Richter Gedeon security.