Small Midcap Dividend Income Fund Market Value

PMDIX Fund  USD 18.65  0.23  1.22%   
Small Midcap's market value is the price at which a share of Small Midcap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Small Midcap Dividend Income investors about its performance. Small Midcap is trading at 18.65 as of the 29th of December 2024; that is 1.22 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Small Midcap Dividend Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Small Midcap over a given investment horizon. Check out Small Midcap Correlation, Small Midcap Volatility and Small Midcap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Small Midcap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Small Midcap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Small Midcap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Small Midcap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Small Midcap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Small Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Small Midcap.
0.00
09/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Small Midcap on September 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Small Midcap Dividend Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Small Midcap over 90 days. Small Midcap is related to or competes with Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, Strategic Asset, International Equity, Strategic Asset, and International Small. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in dividend-paying ... More

Small Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Small Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Small Midcap Dividend Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Small Midcap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Small Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Small Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Small Midcap historical prices to predict the future Small Midcap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5418.6519.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.8218.9320.04
Details

Small Midcap Dividend Backtested Returns

Small Midcap Dividend owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0519, which indicates the fund had a -0.0519% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Small Midcap Dividend Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Small Midcap's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), variance of 1.22, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,839) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.26, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Small Midcap's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Small Midcap is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Small Midcap Dividend Income has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Small Midcap time series from 30th of September 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Small Midcap Dividend price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Small Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.74

Small Midcap Dividend lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Small Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Small Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Small Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Small Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Small Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Small Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Small Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Small Midcap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Small Midcap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Small Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Small Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Small Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Small Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Small Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Small Midcap Dividend Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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