Expat Poland (Germany) Market Value

PLX Etf  EUR 0.61  0.02  3.17%   
Expat Poland's market value is the price at which a share of Expat Poland trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Expat Poland WIG20 investors about its performance. Expat Poland is trading at 0.61 as of the 15th of December 2024. This is a 3.17 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 0.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Expat Poland WIG20 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Expat Poland over a given investment horizon. Check out Expat Poland Correlation, Expat Poland Volatility and Expat Poland Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Expat Poland.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Expat Poland's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expat Poland is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expat Poland's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Expat Poland 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Expat Poland's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Expat Poland.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Expat Poland on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Expat Poland WIG20 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Expat Poland over 30 days. Expat Poland is related to or competes with UBS Fund, Xtrackers, Xtrackers Nikkei, IShares VII, SPDR Gold, Vanguard Funds, and IShares Nikkei. More

Expat Poland Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Expat Poland's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Expat Poland WIG20 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Expat Poland Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Expat Poland's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Expat Poland's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Expat Poland historical prices to predict the future Expat Poland's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.613.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.563.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.633.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.590.620.64
Details

Expat Poland WIG20 Backtested Returns

At this point, Expat Poland is extremely dangerous. Expat Poland WIG20 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0225, which denotes the etf had a 0.0225% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Expat Poland WIG20, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Expat Poland's Downside Deviation of 3.07, mean deviation of 2.11, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4436.21 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0618%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.39, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Expat Poland are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Expat Poland is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

Expat Poland WIG20 has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Expat Poland time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Expat Poland WIG20 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Expat Poland price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Expat Poland WIG20 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Expat Poland etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Expat Poland's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Expat Poland returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Expat Poland has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Expat Poland regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Expat Poland etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Expat Poland etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Expat Poland etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Expat Poland Lagged Returns

When evaluating Expat Poland's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Expat Poland etf have on its future price. Expat Poland autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Expat Poland autocorrelation shows the relationship between Expat Poland etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Expat Poland WIG20.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Expat Etf

Expat Poland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Expat Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Expat with respect to the benefits of owning Expat Poland security.