Putnam U S Fund Market Value

PGVRX Fund  USD 8.33  0.01  0.12%   
Putnam U's market value is the price at which a share of Putnam U trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Putnam U S investors about its performance. Putnam U is trading at 8.33 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.12 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Putnam U S and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Putnam U over a given investment horizon. Check out Putnam U Correlation, Putnam U Volatility and Putnam U Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Putnam U.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Putnam U's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Putnam U is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Putnam U's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Putnam U 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Putnam U's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Putnam U.
0.00
07/20/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 25 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Putnam U on July 20, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Putnam U S or generate 0.0% return on investment in Putnam U over 510 days. Putnam U is related to or competes with Aig Government. The fund invests mainly in mortgages, mortgage-related fixed income securities and related derivatives that are either i... More

Putnam U Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Putnam U's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Putnam U S upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Putnam U Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Putnam U's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Putnam U's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Putnam U historical prices to predict the future Putnam U's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.978.338.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.978.338.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.038.398.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.128.258.37
Details

Putnam U S Backtested Returns

Putnam U S maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0802, which implies the entity had a -0.0802% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Putnam U S exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Putnam U's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), variance of 0.1298, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,464) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0235, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Putnam U's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Putnam U is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Putnam U S has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Putnam U time series from 20th of July 2023 to 31st of March 2024 and 31st of March 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Putnam U S price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Putnam U price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Putnam U S lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Putnam U mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Putnam U's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Putnam U returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Putnam U has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Putnam U regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Putnam U mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Putnam U mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Putnam U mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Putnam U Lagged Returns

When evaluating Putnam U's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Putnam U mutual fund have on its future price. Putnam U autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Putnam U autocorrelation shows the relationship between Putnam U mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Putnam U S.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Putnam Mutual Fund

Putnam U financial ratios help investors to determine whether Putnam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Putnam with respect to the benefits of owning Putnam U security.
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