Pfg Tactical Income Fund Market Value

PFTSX Fund  USD 9.96  0.03  0.30%   
Pfg Tactical's market value is the price at which a share of Pfg Tactical trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pfg Tactical Income investors about its performance. Pfg Tactical is trading at 9.96 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 0.30 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pfg Tactical Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pfg Tactical over a given investment horizon. Check out Pfg Tactical Correlation, Pfg Tactical Volatility and Pfg Tactical Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pfg Tactical.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pfg Tactical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pfg Tactical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pfg Tactical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pfg Tactical 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pfg Tactical's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pfg Tactical.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pfg Tactical on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pfg Tactical Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pfg Tactical over 30 days. Pfg Tactical is related to or competes with Pfg American, Riskproreg Tactical, Riskproreg Pfg, Pfg Br, and Riskproreg Dynamic. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing in the shares of exchange traded funds and ope... More

Pfg Tactical Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pfg Tactical's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pfg Tactical Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pfg Tactical Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pfg Tactical's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pfg Tactical's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pfg Tactical historical prices to predict the future Pfg Tactical's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pfg Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.609.9610.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.639.9910.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.429.7710.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9310.1510.36
Details

Pfg Tactical Income Backtested Returns

Pfg Tactical Income maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0756, which implies the entity had a -0.0756% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pfg Tactical Income exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pfg Tactical's Variance of 0.1312, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,767) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.0864, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Pfg Tactical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pfg Tactical is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.9  

Excellent reverse predictability

Pfg Tactical Income has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pfg Tactical time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pfg Tactical Income price movement. The serial correlation of -0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Pfg Tactical price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.9
Spearman Rank Test-0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Pfg Tactical Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pfg Tactical mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pfg Tactical's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pfg Tactical returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pfg Tactical has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pfg Tactical regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pfg Tactical mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pfg Tactical mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pfg Tactical mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pfg Tactical Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pfg Tactical's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pfg Tactical mutual fund have on its future price. Pfg Tactical autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pfg Tactical autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pfg Tactical mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pfg Tactical Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Pfg Mutual Fund

Pfg Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pfg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pfg with respect to the benefits of owning Pfg Tactical security.
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