Poplar Forest Partners Fund Market Value
| PFPFX Fund | USD 49.31 0.06 0.12% |
| Symbol | Poplar |
Poplar Forest 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Poplar Forest's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Poplar Forest.
| 11/14/2024 |
| 12/14/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Poplar Forest on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Poplar Forest Partners or generate 0.0% return on investment in Poplar Forest over 30 days. Poplar Forest is related to or competes with Poplar Forest, Amg Gwk, Columbia Select, T Rowe, and Edgewood Growth. The fund seeks to deliver superior, risk-adjusted returns over full market cycles, by investing primarily in the common ... More
Poplar Forest Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Poplar Forest's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Poplar Forest Partners upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.19 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.86) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.12 |
Poplar Forest Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Poplar Forest's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Poplar Forest's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Poplar Forest historical prices to predict the future Poplar Forest's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.21) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Poplar Forest Partners Backtested Returns
Poplar Forest Partners maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0683, which implies the entity had a -0.0683% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Poplar Forest Partners exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Poplar Forest's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), variance of 1.48, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,405) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of 0.95, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Poplar Forest returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Poplar Forest is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.93 |
Near perfect reversele predictability
Poplar Forest Partners has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Poplar Forest time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Poplar Forest Partners price movement. The serial correlation of -0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Poplar Forest price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.93 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.53 |
Poplar Forest Partners lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Poplar Forest mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Poplar Forest's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Poplar Forest returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Poplar Forest has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Poplar Forest regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Poplar Forest mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Poplar Forest mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Poplar Forest mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Poplar Forest Lagged Returns
When evaluating Poplar Forest's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Poplar Forest mutual fund have on its future price. Poplar Forest autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Poplar Forest autocorrelation shows the relationship between Poplar Forest mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Poplar Forest Partners.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Poplar Mutual Fund
Poplar Forest financial ratios help investors to determine whether Poplar Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Poplar with respect to the benefits of owning Poplar Forest security.
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