Pebblebrook Hotel (Germany) Market Value
| PD0 Stock | EUR 11.80 0.20 1.72% |
| Symbol | Pebblebrook |
Pebblebrook Hotel 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pebblebrook Hotel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pebblebrook Hotel.
| 01/30/2025 |
| 03/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pebblebrook Hotel on January 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pebblebrook Hotel Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pebblebrook Hotel over 30 days. Pebblebrook Hotel is related to or competes with Host Hotels, Park Hotels, Sunstone Hotel, Xenia Hotels, Service Properties, and Summit Hotel. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust is a publicly traded real estate investment trust and the largest owner of urban and resort life... More
Pebblebrook Hotel Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pebblebrook Hotel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pebblebrook Hotel Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pebblebrook Hotel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pebblebrook Hotel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pebblebrook Hotel historical prices to predict the future Pebblebrook Hotel's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Backtested Returns
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0685, which implies the firm had a -0.0685 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pebblebrook Hotel's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,133), variance of 3.8, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.72, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Pebblebrook Hotel's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pebblebrook Hotel is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has a negative expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to check Pebblebrook Hotel's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Pebblebrook Hotel Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.1 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pebblebrook Hotel time series from 30th of January 2025 to 14th of February 2025 and 14th of February 2025 to 1st of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust price movement. The serial correlation of -0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Pebblebrook Hotel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.1 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.1 |
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Pebblebrook Hotel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pebblebrook Hotel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pebblebrook Hotel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pebblebrook Hotel has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
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Pebblebrook Hotel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pebblebrook Hotel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pebblebrook Hotel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pebblebrook Hotel stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
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Pebblebrook Hotel Lagged Returns
When evaluating Pebblebrook Hotel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pebblebrook Hotel stock have on its future price. Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pebblebrook Hotel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pebblebrook Hotel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pebblebrook Hotel Trust.
Regressed Prices |
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pebblebrook Stock
When determining whether Pebblebrook Hotel Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pebblebrook Hotel's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock:Check out Pebblebrook Hotel Correlation, Pebblebrook Hotel Volatility and Pebblebrook Hotel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pebblebrook Hotel. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Pebblebrook Hotel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.