Groupe Partouche (France) Market Value

PAR Stock  EUR 38.70  0.40  1.04%   
Groupe Partouche's market value is the price at which a share of Groupe Partouche trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Groupe Partouche SA investors about its performance. Groupe Partouche is trading at 38.70 as of the 11th of December 2024, a 1.04% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 38.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Groupe Partouche SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Groupe Partouche over a given investment horizon. Check out Groupe Partouche Correlation, Groupe Partouche Volatility and Groupe Partouche Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Groupe Partouche.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupe Partouche's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupe Partouche is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupe Partouche's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Groupe Partouche 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Groupe Partouche's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Groupe Partouche.
0.00
12/22/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Groupe Partouche on December 22, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Groupe Partouche SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Groupe Partouche over 720 days. Groupe Partouche is related to or competes with Fonciere Inea, Immobiliere Dassault, Societe De, Patrimoine, and Selectirente. Paref SA owns and manages business real estate located primarily in the Paris region More

Groupe Partouche Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Groupe Partouche's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Groupe Partouche SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Groupe Partouche Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupe Partouche's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Groupe Partouche's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Groupe Partouche historical prices to predict the future Groupe Partouche's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1038.7040.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.5340.1241.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.2036.8038.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.8940.4643.02
Details

Groupe Partouche Backtested Returns

Groupe Partouche holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0319, which attests that the entity had a -0.0319% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Groupe Partouche exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Groupe Partouche's Standard Deviation of 1.57, market risk adjusted performance of (0.32), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.16, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Groupe Partouche's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Groupe Partouche is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Groupe Partouche has a negative expected return of -0.0509%. Please make sure to check out Groupe Partouche's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and day typical price , to decide if Groupe Partouche performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Groupe Partouche SA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Groupe Partouche time series from 22nd of December 2022 to 17th of December 2023 and 17th of December 2023 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Groupe Partouche price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Groupe Partouche price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.49

Groupe Partouche lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Groupe Partouche stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Groupe Partouche's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Groupe Partouche returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Groupe Partouche has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Groupe Partouche regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Groupe Partouche stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Groupe Partouche stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Groupe Partouche stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Groupe Partouche Lagged Returns

When evaluating Groupe Partouche's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Groupe Partouche stock have on its future price. Groupe Partouche autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Groupe Partouche autocorrelation shows the relationship between Groupe Partouche stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Groupe Partouche SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Groupe Stock

Groupe Partouche financial ratios help investors to determine whether Groupe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Groupe with respect to the benefits of owning Groupe Partouche security.