Jpmorgan Short Intermediate Municipal Fund Market Value
| OSTSX Fund | USD 10.14 0.01 0.1% |
| Symbol | Jpmorgan |
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Short-intermedia.
| 01/14/2023 |
| 01/03/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Jpmorgan Short-intermedia on January 14, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Short Intermediate Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Short-intermedia over 720 days. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal bonds, the income from which is exempt from federal ... More
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Short Intermediate Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.20) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 0.6889 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.1969 |
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Short-intermedia historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.03) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia Backtested Returns
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0994, which attests that the entity had a -0.0994% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jpmorgan Short-intermedia exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's Standard Deviation of 0.1277, risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0226, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jpmorgan Short-intermedia is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Jpmorgan Short Intermediate Municipal has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Short-intermedia time series from 14th of January 2023 to 9th of January 2024 and 9th of January 2024 to 3rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Short-intermedia price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Jpmorgan Short-intermedia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Short-intermedia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Short-intermedia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia Lagged Returns
When evaluating Jpmorgan Short-intermedia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Short-intermedia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Short-intermedia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Short-intermedia mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Short Intermediate Municipal.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund
Jpmorgan Short-intermedia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Short-intermedia security.
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