Orizon Valorizao (Brazil) Market Value

ORVR3 Stock  BRL 42.20  0.69  1.66%   
Orizon Valorizao's market value is the price at which a share of Orizon Valorizao trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orizon Valorizao de investors about its performance. Orizon Valorizao is selling for under 42.20 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 1.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 41.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orizon Valorizao de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orizon Valorizao over a given investment horizon. Check out Orizon Valorizao Correlation, Orizon Valorizao Volatility and Orizon Valorizao Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orizon Valorizao.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orizon Valorizao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orizon Valorizao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orizon Valorizao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orizon Valorizao 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orizon Valorizao's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orizon Valorizao.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orizon Valorizao on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orizon Valorizao de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orizon Valorizao over 30 days. Orizon Valorizao is related to or competes with Waste Management, Ambipar Participaes, Fras Le, Western Digital, BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, and Companhia Habitasul. Orizon Valorizao de Resduos S.A. provides waste treatment and recovery company More

Orizon Valorizao Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orizon Valorizao's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orizon Valorizao de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orizon Valorizao Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orizon Valorizao's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orizon Valorizao's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orizon Valorizao historical prices to predict the future Orizon Valorizao's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.7141.5143.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.3643.3945.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.5842.3844.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.2641.4341.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orizon Valorizao. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orizon Valorizao's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orizon Valorizao's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orizon Valorizao.

Orizon Valorizao Backtested Returns

Orizon Valorizao maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.11, which implies the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Orizon Valorizao exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Orizon Valorizao's Variance of 3.19, coefficient of variation of (1,353), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orizon Valorizao's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orizon Valorizao is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Orizon Valorizao has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check Orizon Valorizao's potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Orizon Valorizao performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

Orizon Valorizao de has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orizon Valorizao time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orizon Valorizao price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Orizon Valorizao price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.65

Orizon Valorizao lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orizon Valorizao stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orizon Valorizao's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orizon Valorizao returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orizon Valorizao has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orizon Valorizao regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orizon Valorizao stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orizon Valorizao stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orizon Valorizao stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orizon Valorizao Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orizon Valorizao's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orizon Valorizao stock have on its future price. Orizon Valorizao autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orizon Valorizao autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orizon Valorizao stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orizon Valorizao de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Orizon Stock Analysis

When running Orizon Valorizao's price analysis, check to measure Orizon Valorizao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orizon Valorizao is operating at the current time. Most of Orizon Valorizao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orizon Valorizao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orizon Valorizao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orizon Valorizao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.