Oreilly Automotive Stock Market Value
| ORLY Stock | USD 1,243 0.79 0.06% |
| Symbol | OReilly |
OReilly Automotive Price To Book Ratio
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OReilly Automotive. If investors know OReilly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OReilly Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.064 | Earnings Share 40.4 | Revenue Per Share 280.063 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 | Return On Assets 0.1437 |
The market value of OReilly Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OReilly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OReilly Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OReilly Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OReilly Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OReilly Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OReilly Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OReilly Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OReilly Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
OReilly Automotive 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to OReilly Automotive's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of OReilly Automotive.
| 06/03/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in OReilly Automotive on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding OReilly Automotive or generate 0.0% return on investment in OReilly Automotive over 180 days. OReilly Automotive is related to or competes with Advance Auto, Tractor Supply, Genuine Parts, Five Below, Williams Sonoma, Ulta Beauty, and Best Buy. OReilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket ... More
OReilly Automotive Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure OReilly Automotive's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess OReilly Automotive upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9828 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0018 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.55) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.4 |
OReilly Automotive Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for OReilly Automotive's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as OReilly Automotive's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use OReilly Automotive historical prices to predict the future OReilly Automotive's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0952 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0212 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0021 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1526 |
OReilly Automotive Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider OReilly Stock to be very steady. OReilly Automotive maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.13, which implies the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for OReilly Automotive, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check OReilly Automotive's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0952, coefficient of variation of 832.74, and Semi Deviation of 0.8516 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. OReilly Automotive has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 0.85, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. OReilly Automotive returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, OReilly Automotive is expected to follow. OReilly Automotive right now holds a risk of 1.18%. Please check OReilly Automotive semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if OReilly Automotive will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.66 |
Good predictability
OReilly Automotive has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between OReilly Automotive time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of OReilly Automotive price movement. The serial correlation of 0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current OReilly Automotive price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.68 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1618.98 |
OReilly Automotive lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is OReilly Automotive stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting OReilly Automotive's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of OReilly Automotive returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that OReilly Automotive has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
OReilly Automotive regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If OReilly Automotive stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if OReilly Automotive stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in OReilly Automotive stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
OReilly Automotive Lagged Returns
When evaluating OReilly Automotive's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of OReilly Automotive stock have on its future price. OReilly Automotive autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, OReilly Automotive autocorrelation shows the relationship between OReilly Automotive stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in OReilly Automotive.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for OReilly Stock Analysis
When running OReilly Automotive's price analysis, check to measure OReilly Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OReilly Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of OReilly Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OReilly Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OReilly Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.