Oragenics Stock Market Value
| OGEN Stock | USD 0.28 0.01 3.70% |
| Symbol | Oragenics |
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oragenics. If investors know Oragenics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oragenics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Oragenics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oragenics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oragenics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oragenics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oragenics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oragenics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oragenics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oragenics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oragenics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Oragenics 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oragenics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oragenics.
| 01/27/2025 |
| 02/26/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Oragenics on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oragenics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oragenics over 30 days. Oragenics is related to or competes with Tonix Pharmaceuticals, and Jaguar Animal. Oragenics, Inc. develops antibiotics for infectious diseases in the United States More
Oragenics Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oragenics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oragenics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 33.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 15.15 |
Oragenics Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oragenics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oragenics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oragenics historical prices to predict the future Oragenics' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0077 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0378 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oragenics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oragenics Backtested Returns
Oragenics maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Oragenics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Oragenics' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0077, coefficient of variation of (60,597), and Variance of 44.86 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.47, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Oragenics' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Oragenics is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Oragenics has a negative expected return of -0.0111%. Please make sure to check Oragenics' total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Oragenics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.54 |
Modest predictability
Oragenics has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oragenics time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oragenics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Oragenics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Oragenics lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Oragenics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oragenics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oragenics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oragenics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Oragenics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oragenics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oragenics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oragenics stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Oragenics Lagged Returns
When evaluating Oragenics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oragenics stock have on its future price. Oragenics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oragenics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oragenics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oragenics.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
When determining whether Oragenics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Oragenics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Oragenics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Oragenics Stock:
Check out Oragenics Correlation, Oragenics Volatility and Oragenics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oragenics. To learn how to invest in Oragenics Stock, please use our How to Invest in Oragenics guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Oragenics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.