Oppenheimer Developing Markets Fund Market Value

ODVNX Fund  USD 37.32  0.12  0.32%   
Oppenheimer Developing's market value is the price at which a share of Oppenheimer Developing trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oppenheimer Developing Markets investors about its performance. Oppenheimer Developing is trading at 37.32 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.32 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 37.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oppenheimer Developing Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oppenheimer Developing over a given investment horizon. Check out Oppenheimer Developing Correlation, Oppenheimer Developing Volatility and Oppenheimer Developing Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oppenheimer Developing.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oppenheimer Developing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oppenheimer Developing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oppenheimer Developing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oppenheimer Developing 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oppenheimer Developing's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oppenheimer Developing.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oppenheimer Developing on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oppenheimer Developing Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oppenheimer Developing over 90 days. Oppenheimer Developing is related to or competes with Davis Financial, Davis Financial, Icon Financial, and Royce Global. The fund mainly invests in common stocks of issuers in developing and emerging markets throughout the world and at times... More

Oppenheimer Developing Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oppenheimer Developing's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oppenheimer Developing Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oppenheimer Developing Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oppenheimer Developing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oppenheimer Developing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oppenheimer Developing historical prices to predict the future Oppenheimer Developing's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.3237.3238.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.7035.7041.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.9436.9437.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.6538.3640.07
Details

Oppenheimer Developing Backtested Returns

Oppenheimer Developing maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0214, which implies the entity had a -0.0214% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Oppenheimer Developing exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Oppenheimer Developing's Coefficient Of Variation of (4,680), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 0.9926 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The fund holds a Beta of -0.076, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oppenheimer Developing are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oppenheimer Developing is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Oppenheimer Developing Markets has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oppenheimer Developing time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oppenheimer Developing price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Oppenheimer Developing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.0

Oppenheimer Developing lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oppenheimer Developing's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oppenheimer Developing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oppenheimer Developing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oppenheimer Developing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oppenheimer Developing Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oppenheimer Developing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund have on its future price. Oppenheimer Developing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oppenheimer Developing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oppenheimer Developing mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oppenheimer Developing Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Oppenheimer Mutual Fund

Oppenheimer Developing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenheimer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenheimer with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenheimer Developing security.
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