Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short Fund Market Value

NTAUX Fund  USD 10.18  0.01  0.1%   
Northern Tax-advantaged's market value is the price at which a share of Northern Tax-advantaged trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short investors about its performance. Northern Tax-advantaged is trading at 10.18 as of the 10th of January 2025; that is 0.1 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northern Tax-advantaged over a given investment horizon. Check out Northern Tax-advantaged Correlation, Northern Tax-advantaged Volatility and Northern Tax-advantaged Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Northern Tax-advantaged.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Tax-advantaged's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Tax-advantaged is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Tax-advantaged's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northern Tax-advantaged 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northern Tax-advantaged's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northern Tax-advantaged.
0.00
12/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/10/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northern Tax-advantaged on December 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northern Tax-advantaged over 30 days. Northern Tax-advantaged is related to or competes with Northern Bond, Northern Core, Northern Arizona, Northern Emerging, Northern Fixed, Northern Income, and Northern International. The fund will, under normal circumstances, invest primarily in fixed-income securities More

Northern Tax-advantaged Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northern Tax-advantaged's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northern Tax-advantaged Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northern Tax-advantaged's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northern Tax-advantaged's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northern Tax-advantaged historical prices to predict the future Northern Tax-advantaged's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Tax-advantaged's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1110.1810.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.299.3611.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1210.1910.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1610.1710.18
Details

Northern Tax Advantaged Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Northern Mutual Fund to be very steady. Northern Tax Advantaged has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Northern Tax-advantaged, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Northern Tax-advantaged's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, mean deviation of 0.034, and Coefficient Of Variation of 812.9 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0113%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0055, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northern Tax-advantaged's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northern Tax-advantaged is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northern Tax-advantaged time series from 11th of December 2024 to 26th of December 2024 and 26th of December 2024 to 10th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northern Tax Advantaged price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Northern Tax-advantaged price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Northern Tax Advantaged lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northern Tax-advantaged's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northern Tax-advantaged returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northern Tax-advantaged has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Northern Tax-advantaged regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Northern Tax-advantaged Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northern Tax-advantaged's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund have on its future price. Northern Tax-advantaged autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northern Tax-advantaged autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northern Tax-advantaged mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northern Tax Advantaged Ultra Short.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Northern Mutual Fund

Northern Tax-advantaged financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Tax-advantaged security.
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