Novation Hldgs Stock Market Value

Novation Hldgs' market value is the price at which a share of Novation Hldgs trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Novation Hldgs investors about its performance.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Novation Hldgs and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Novation Hldgs over a given investment horizon. Check out Novation Hldgs Correlation, Novation Hldgs Volatility and Novation Hldgs Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Novation Hldgs.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Novation Hldgs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Novation Hldgs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Novation Hldgs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Novation Hldgs 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Novation Hldgs' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Novation Hldgs.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Novation Hldgs on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Novation Hldgs or generate 0.0% return on investment in Novation Hldgs over 30 days. Dragon Life Science Holdings Group, Inc. operates as regional Internet service provider More

Novation Hldgs Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Novation Hldgs' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Novation Hldgs upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Novation Hldgs Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novation Hldgs' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Novation Hldgs' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Novation Hldgs historical prices to predict the future Novation Hldgs' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000020.00009312.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0000930.0000930.000093
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Novation Hldgs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Novation Hldgs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Novation Hldgs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Novation Hldgs.

Novation Hldgs Backtested Returns

Novation Hldgs has Sharpe Ratio of -0.13, which conveys that the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Novation Hldgs exposes zero different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Novation Hldgs are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Novation Hldgs has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Novation Hldgs time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Novation Hldgs price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Novation Hldgs price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Novation Hldgs lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Novation Hldgs pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Novation Hldgs' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Novation Hldgs returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Novation Hldgs has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Novation Hldgs regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Novation Hldgs pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Novation Hldgs pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Novation Hldgs pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Novation Hldgs Lagged Returns

When evaluating Novation Hldgs' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Novation Hldgs pink sheet have on its future price. Novation Hldgs autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Novation Hldgs autocorrelation shows the relationship between Novation Hldgs pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Novation Hldgs.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Other Information on Investing in Novation Pink Sheet

Novation Hldgs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Novation Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Novation with respect to the benefits of owning Novation Hldgs security.